Category Archives: Cognitive Sciences

Scientific limitations to the non-scientific idea that super-intelligence will come (for exterminating humans)

January 23, 2015 20:00 ,

Ernest Davis, Ethical guidelines for a superintelligence, Artificial Intelligence, Volume 220, March 2015, Pages 121-124, ISSN 0004-3702, DOI: 10.1016/j.artint.2014.12.003.

Nick Bostrom, in his new book SuperIntelligence, argues that the creation of an artificial intelligence with human-level intelligence will be followed fairly soon by the existence of an almost omnipotent superintelligence, with consequences that may well be disastrous for humanity. He considers that it is therefore a top priority for mankind to figure out how to imbue such a superintelligence with a sense of morality; however, he considers that this task is very difficult. I discuss a number of flaws in his analysis, particularly the viewpoint that implementing ethical behavior is an especially difficult problem in AI research.

Posted in: Artificial Intelligence , Tagged: ,

How to bypass the NP-hardness of estimating the best explanation of given data (instantiated as MAP, i.e., Maximum A Posteriori, not as maximum likelihood) in discrete Bayesian Networks, through distinction of relevant and irrelevant variables

January 23, 2015 17:15 ,

Johan Kwisthout, Most frugal explanations in Bayesian networks, Artificial Intelligence, Volume 218, January 2015, Pages 56-73, ISSN 0004-3702, DOI: 10.1016/j.artint.2014.10.001

Inferring the most probable explanation to a set of variables, given a partial observation of the remaining variables, is one of the canonical computational problems in Bayesian networks, with widespread applications in AI and beyond. This problem, known as MAP, is computationally intractable (NP-hard) and remains so even when only an approximate solution is sought. We propose a heuristic formulation of the MAP problem, denoted as Inference to the Most Frugal Explanation (MFE), based on the observation that many intermediate variables (that are neither observed nor to be explained) are irrelevant with respect to the outcome of the explanatory process. An explanation based on few samples (often even a singleton sample) from these irrelevant variables is typically almost as good as an explanation based on (the computationally costly) marginalization over these variables. We show that while MFE is computationally intractable in general (as is MAP), it can be tractably approximated under plausible situational constraints, and its inferences are fairly robust with respect to which intermediate variables are considered to be relevant.

Posted in: Artificial Intelligence , Tagged: , ,

On search as a consequence of the exploration-exploitation trade-off, and as a core element in human cognition

January 23, 2015 16:58 ,

Thomas T. Hills, Peter M. Todd, David Lazer, A. David Redish, Iain D. Couzin, the Cognitive Search Research Group, Exploration versus exploitation in space, mind, and society, Trends in Cognitive Sciences, Volume 19, Issue 1, January 2015, Pages 46-54, ISSN 1364-6613, DOI: 10.1016/j.tics.2014.10.004.

Search is a ubiquitous property of life. Although diverse domains have worked on search problems largely in isolation, recent trends across disciplines indicate that the formal properties of these problems share similar structures and, often, similar solutions. Moreover, internal search (e.g., memory search) shows similar characteristics to external search (e.g., spatial foraging), including shared neural mechanisms consistent with a common evolutionary origin across species. Search problems and their solutions also scale from individuals to societies, underlying and constraining problem solving, memory, information search, and scientific and cultural innovation. In summary, search represents a core feature of cognition, with a vast influence on its evolution and processes across contexts and requiring input from multiple domains to understand its implications and scope.

Posted in: Psycho-physiological bases of engineering , Tagged: , ,

On the way humans reduce perceptual information during decision making, falling apart from statistically optimal behavior, in order to deal with the overwhelming sensory flow

January 23, 2015 16:52 ,

Christopher Summerfield, Konstantinos Tsetsos, Do humans make good decisions?, Trends in Cognitive Sciences, Volume 19, Issue 1, January 2015, Pages 27-34, ISSN 1364-6613, DOI: 10.1016/j.tics.2014.11.005

Human performance on perceptual classification tasks approaches that of an ideal observer, but economic decisions are often inconsistent and intransitive, with preferences reversing according to the local context. We discuss the view that suboptimal choices may result from the efficient coding of decision-relevant information, a strategy that allows expected inputs to be processed with higher gain than unexpected inputs. Efficient coding leads to \u2018robust\u2019 decisions that depart from optimality but maximise the information transmitted by a limited-capacity system in a rapidly-changing world. We review recent work showing that when perceptual environments are variable or volatile, perceptual decisions exhibit the same suboptimal context-dependence as economic choices, and we propose a general computational framework that accounts for findings across the two domains.

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