Tag Archives: Decision Making

Partially observable reinforcement learning and the problem of representing the history of the learning process efficiently

Doshi-Velez, F.; Pfau, D.; Wood, F.; Roy, N., Bayesian Nonparametric Methods for Partially-Observable Reinforcement Learning, Pattern Analysis and Machine Intelligence, IEEE Transactions on , vol.37, no.2, pp.394,407, Feb. 2015, DOI: 10.1109/TPAMI.2013.191

Making intelligent decisions from incomplete information is critical in many applications: for example, robots must choose actions based on imperfect sensors, and speech-based interfaces must infer a user\u2019s needs from noisy microphone inputs. What makes these tasks hard is that often we do not have a natural representation with which to model the domain and use for choosing actions; we must learn about the domain\u2019s properties while simultaneously performing the task. Learning a representation also involves trade-offs between modeling the data that we have seen previously and being able to make predictions about new data. This article explores learning representations of stochastic systems using Bayesian nonparametric statistics. Bayesian nonparametric methods allow the sophistication of a representation to scale gracefully with the complexity in the data. Our main contribution is a careful empirical evaluation of how representations learned using Bayesian nonparametric methods compare to other standard learning approaches, especially in support of planning and control. We show that the Bayesian aspects of the methods result in achieving state-of-the-art performance in decision making with relatively few samples, while the nonparametric aspects often result in fewer computations. These results hold across a variety of different techniques for choosing actions given a representation.

On the way humans reduce perceptual information during decision making, falling apart from statistically optimal behavior, in order to deal with the overwhelming sensory flow

Christopher Summerfield, Konstantinos Tsetsos, Do humans make good decisions?, Trends in Cognitive Sciences, Volume 19, Issue 1, January 2015, Pages 27-34, ISSN 1364-6613, DOI: 10.1016/j.tics.2014.11.005

Human performance on perceptual classification tasks approaches that of an ideal observer, but economic decisions are often inconsistent and intransitive, with preferences reversing according to the local context. We discuss the view that suboptimal choices may result from the efficient coding of decision-relevant information, a strategy that allows expected inputs to be processed with higher gain than unexpected inputs. Efficient coding leads to \u2018robust\u2019 decisions that depart from optimality but maximise the information transmitted by a limited-capacity system in a rapidly-changing world. We review recent work showing that when perceptual environments are variable or volatile, perceptual decisions exhibit the same suboptimal context-dependence as economic choices, and we propose a general computational framework that accounts for findings across the two domains.